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Friday, May 25, 2012

Bearish oil may not find support until $81

Bearish oil may not find support until $81

CLN12:
  • Short Term Trends are bearish.
  • Confirmation of a top with a range violation on 05/03/12 @ 104.38. Confirmation of a top with a close on 05/03/12 @ 102.54. Downside Target = 100.44 – 93.98 – 89.97.
  • New contract lows made on Thursday @ 89.28. Intermediate Downside Target over 100% achieved.
  • July WTI Crude broke through the $90 threshold on Wednesday as it stopped just a few ticks shy of breaking the November lows @ 89.17 before rallying after the pit-session up near the day’s mid-range.
  • WTI has now lost more than $17 in the past three weeks and although the Intermediate Term downside objective has now been achieved, with all current trends still very bearish, this market may continue lower towards the major-term support @ 81.40.
  • Projected Daily Range: 2.25
  • Projected Weekly Range: 5.63
  • Projected Monthly Range: 9.25

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